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Willis's Walkabouts Newsletter 105, October 2019 — It's Happening

If you are viewing this on a mobile, the newsletter and many of the links should work better in a horizontal format.

If you live anywhere that is affected by cyclones or hurricanes, the second article in Cyclones and Hurricanes is a must. It could save your life.

If you have been to Kakadu this year, please fill in the park questionnaire at the top of the Bushwalking in Kakadu — Have Your Say section. If you have more time, do the second one as well.

For what it's worth, my three favourite sections are Tambora, Dark Emu and The Next Generation

Watch for the next newsletter. In it I'll have info about a development which could change our world far more than anything else that's happened to date.

Restricted content. Articles marked * or ** are on restricted websites Click for more info.

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In this issue

WW — New for 2020

New Trips

We are offering a number of new trips for 2020. Here are the first.

New Website and Bushwalking Guide

By the time the next newsletter comes out, we should have draft versions available for comment

New on Facebook and Instagram

Rod Costigan has been sending me daily updates from our current trip to Hokkaido in Japan. I've been putting them into little video clips and posting them to both our Facebook page and our Instagram page. If you're curious, scroll down and go through the lot. Make sure you read the notes as they give you an idea what you are looking at. Eventually, I'd like to put them all together on a single video which I'll post to both our Facebook page and our YouTube channel.

If you have a look at the Hokkaido videos and have suggestions as to what I can do to improve a similar series, please please send me an email.

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Cyclones and Hurricanes

If you live anywhere that could be affected by a cyclone or hurricane (or typhoon if you live in Asia), you must read these.

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Bushwalking in Kakadu — Have Your Say

Kakadu Visitor Survey

If you visited Kakadu this year, it is very important for the future of bushwalking in Kakadu that you take the time to fill in the 2019 Kakadu National Park Visitor Survey. It should take about ten minutes, a bit longer if you give detailed answers. They don't get a lot of feedback from bushwalkers so the more they have the more likely it is that we'll be able to continue the wonderful walks we do there.

Growing Tourism In Kakadu

In January 2019, the Australian Government announced a $216 million funding package to support growing tourism in Kakadu National Park and to support Jabiru transition to a post-mining future. As part of the development of a new Tourism Master Plan, the consultants are calling for public submissions. You can have your say at Growing Tourism in Kakadu. Submissions close 22 October.

While bushwalking in Kakadu has a lot to offer both to the Park in terms of feedback about areas that park staff seldom visit and visitors who get to enjoy magnificent bush experiences, bushwalkers make up such a small fraction of park visitors that it is not given the attention I think it deserves. For this reason, it is important that bushwalkers take the time to have their voice heard on how bushwalking can be better supported within the Park".

If some things continue as they have been, I suspect that a lot of money is going to be spent for not much result. I'd begin with how communication between the park and potential visitors can be improved.

Have a look at the Kakadu Access Report. Scroll down and note the things still listed as closed this late in the dry season. For Twin Falls it just says, "road impassable". It doesn't say why the road is impassable. There is a good reason but by not stating exactly why it's still impassable when it normally opened by sometime in July, park management has created a lot of ill will both among locals and people from elsewhere. It didn't have to be that way. If you do make a comment, it would be worth mentioning communication.

Final thought. A large part of the Kakadu budget comes from visitor fees. Without more visitors, some things might get neglected because of lack of funds.

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Tambora

Ever heard of it? You should have.

I knew that the Tambora volcano eruption of 1815 was far larger than the more famous Krakatoa, but until I read the book Tambora: Travels to Sumbawa and the mountain that changed the world by Derek Pugh, I hadn't realised just how devastating it had been. After reading the travelogue, I was interested enough to dig more deeply.

The next book I read was Tambora: The Eruption That Changed the World by Gillen D'Arcy Wood. This went into an incredible amount of detail. The Tambora eruption had a far greater impact on the world than any other natural event in the last thousand years. Tambora changed the world's weather, caused famines from Asia to Europe and triggered the greatest cholera plague the world has ever seen. Without Tambora's wild weather, Mary Shelly's Frankenstein might never have been written.

As Wood says near the end of the book, "The global death toll from Tambora was likely in the millions — or tens of millions if we include the worldwide cholera epidemic its eruption almost certainly triggered." The world's population is ten times larger now. If something similar happened now, the death toll would probably be in the hundreds of millions.

Another good book on Tambora is The Year Without Summer by William and Nicholas Klingaman has more detail from North America and less from Asia. All three books are worth reading.

Interested in a visit?

Derek Pugh's website has a page page describing the trek to the top. You'll need to scroll down a bit to get to it.

Visit Tambora is a website with a bit of info including guided hikes to the mountain.

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2020 — What's Happening with WW

Our PDF Trip List gets updated very regularly. We are, however, getting so many charters and developing new trips that any trip on that list that doesn't already have bookings may have to be cancelled. If you are interested in a particular trip, the sooner you get in, the more likely it is that we'll be able to run it.

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A Cashless Australia?

When I put this section in the last newsletter, I was unaware of a government push to turn Australia into as close to a cashless society as possible. I don't like the idea.

Much of the developed world has negative interest rates. In a paper published by the IMF (International Monetary Fund) Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide, "We argue that the best approaches for enabling deep negative rates ... are those that ... do not impose quantity restrictions on cash ... [One such approach is] 'the clean approach' which is an electronic money system that takes paper currency off par." In simple terms, if all your money is in the bank, the government can set a negative rate so that you lose money by keeping it there, effectively forcing you to spend it and keep the economy ticking over. I'd rather see a complete overhaul of the system so that it becomes sustainable. If you are young or if you've got children or grandchildren, this should be of serious concern.

Don't think it can happen? Guess again. Already some European pension funds have been told that they are required by law to have a certain percentage of their funds in government bonds in spite of the fact that those bonds are guaranteed to lose value over time. Anything resembling the kind of conservative super scheme that older people should have is being legislated out of existence.

There is a lot more on the web if you'd like to do a search.

Finally, if you agree that it's not a good idea, sign the petition, Stop Scott Morrison from banning cash to trap Australians in banks!. For what it's worth, I've signed it and will be sending emails to a variety of politicians expressing my views as to why it's such a bad idea.

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Travel

Flying

Miscellaneous Travel Stories

Escape!

The Land Where the Internet Ends *
To find real solitude, you have to go out of range. But every year that's harder to do, as America's off-the-grid places disappear.

That's America. If you want to escape digital overload, come on one of our trips. Unless you bring your own satphone, you'll be completely off-line.

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Dark Emu — A Re-Examination of Pre-Contact Aboriginal Culture

I recently came across the book Dark Emu by Bruce Pascoe. Having read it, I can't recommend it highly enough.

The Guardian had a Dark Emu's infinite potential: 'Our kids have grown up in a fog about the history of the land'. "Pascoe immersed himself in those records — such as the diaries of explorers, which were surprisingly full of information about the way Aboriginal people managed their lands. "You have to read them in the original form, without the editing, because in some of them there was a severe edit before they became public documents, and often the only stuff missing was the observations about Aboriginal use of land," Pascoe says.

The Conversation ran a similar story Dark Emu and the blindness of Australian agriculture which summed it up nicely.

"The key contention in Pascoe's book is that the whole distinction between the farming colonist and the hunter-gatherer indigene is based on a radical, and frankly self-serving, misunderstanding of the way that the Indigenous peoples of Australia lived in their countries. Pascoe assembles a persuasive case that Indigenous Australians farmed their land, lived in villages, built houses, harvested cereals, built complex aquaculture systems — possibly the earliest stone structures in human history — and led the kind of sedentary agricultural lives that were meant only to have arrived with Europeans in 1788.

I'll go so far as to say that I think it should be mandatory reading in every high school in the country. Young Dark Emu is suitable for primary schools.

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China

Two for starters

Hong Kong

Three of the better stories I've read about the current problems.

In Depth

Here are a series of articles, most from an organisation called Geopolitical Futures. Everything I've read of theirs makes sense to me.

And, To Finish

The Threat to Limit Capital Flows to China and Pending Impeachment Conflict: Next Logical Steps in a Classic Dangerous Journey? The 1935-45 Analogue
"We are on a classic journey that we haven't seen in our lifetimes but has happened many times before, most recently in the late 1930s. It is being driven by the same big forces that drove the dynamics in the late 1930s. In particular, now, like in the late 1930s and unlike any period since, these three big forces are converging."
If nothing else, browse the first part to get an idea of where we look to be headed. It's a bit scary.

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Our Changing Society

Some things are hard to change

Why Do the Democrats Keep Saying 'Structural'? *
Candidates are promising a kind of change that history suggests they cannot deliver.
"Social structures persist because of deep-seated cultural understandings, expectations and informal rules that shape everyday behavior and the workings of institutions — and because people who benefit from such structures use their resources to preserve the status quo. As a result, major structural change typically requires more than what even the most progressive Democratic candidates are offering."

Same applies in Australia. Some political promises cannot be kept.

Democracy and Freedom

Close to Home

Women in Other Societies

Japan and China both have seriously aging societies. In the longer term, things like the above will magnify their problems.

Immigrants

It's not just Australians and Americans who are becoming paranoid about immigrants.

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Our Planet — We've Only Got One

The Amazon

Amazon on FireThe photo is a night satellite image of the Amazon basin with an overlay showing national boundaries. The white blotches are towns and cities. The orange is forest fires. Brazil, Peru, Bolivia, Paraguay, Argentina. We often suffer major bushfires here in Australia, but this is almost beyond belief. Click the photo to see a larger version.

I found the photo in a NY Times article, Where Is the Amazon Rainforest Vanishing? Not Just in Brazil *
"Deforestation at breakneck rates is depleting vast expanses of Amazon forest contained in South American countries neighboring Brazil. Forest loss in those nations, which host roughly 40 percent of the Amazon, underscores how the fires now ravaging parts of Brazil and provoking global alarm are just one piece of a broader regional crisis."

That goes well with 'It's Really Close': How the Amazon Rainforest Could Self-Destruct *
"A body of research suggests, the Amazon as a whole would cross a tipping point and begin to self-destruct — a process of self-perpetuating deforestation known as dieback. If that is left unchecked, half or more of the rainforest could erode into savanna, according to some estimates, and then the rainforest, which has long absorbed the world's greenhouse gases, could instead begin to emit them."

It's not just the Amazon

Climate Change

Climate Change and Its Effects: Can We Undo it?
It's a good summary and has some interesting links.

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Our Hyperconnected World

Facebook

It seems as if Facebook is in the news every few days. Here are some of the more interesting articles I've found. If you use Facebook, some of this is going to affect you.

Ransomware

It's happened many times in America. If if hasn't already happened here, it's only a matter of time before it does.

A quote from a financial newsletter, "We've seen cyber attacks breach banks, hospitals, vehicles, industrial controls, city governments, energy infrastructure, baby monitors, medical devices and telecom networks ...and influence voters around the world. Nation-states actively develop network exploit capabilities and conduct offensive cyber actions against other nations, while criminal networks reap billions from fraud and hacking. It seems only a matter of time before a catastrophic critical infrastructure failure or election-changing deepfake generates unstoppable calls for massive regulation."

Big Tech, Big Data, Big Trouble

Misc

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The Next Generation

What I'd Like To See

A Peculiarly Dutch Summer Rite: Children Let Loose in the Night Woods *
It may sound extreme, but it's normal in the Netherlands.

It was once normal in Australia. I was involved with the Duke of Edinburgh award back in the 1980s. In those days, after a bit of training, 14 year old kids would go on an overnight walk without adult supervision. To be sure, there were adults within calling distance but, if nothing went wrong, they were on their own.

Today's Sad Reality

We Have Ruined Childhood *
"For youngsters these days, an hour of free play is like a drop of water in the desert. Of course they're miserable.

We live in a changing world. We're not allowing kids the kind of freedom they need to develop the resilience they will need to cope.

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Photos, Videos & Just for Fun

Photos

Videos

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News About This Newsletter

Restricted websites.

The NY Times now asks you to sign on for a free account before you can read any article. Once you've done that, you can look at ten free articles each month. I've got more links than that in this newsletter so I've marked them with a red asterisk (*) so that you can choose which are of most interest to you. If you are interested n subscribing, they have an introductory offer, Readers in Australia subscribe for just A$2 a week. You can cancel at any time but if you keep going after the year, the cost will rise to A$5 per week.

The Washington Post, Bloomberg and The Economist all have limits but I'm not sure what the current limits are so I've marked Washington Post, Bloomberg and Economist articles with a double red asterisk (**).

Next Newsletter — November? December?. Depends on how organised I am. I've already got almost enough for the next one.

As always, I welcome a bit of feedback about some of the things in this newsletter and suggestions for the next one.

Sending the newsletter

I'm now using a paid version of MailChimp to send all of the newsletters. I'm not sure what I'll do if the list goes over 2500.

walkabout@bushwalkingholidays.com.au is the contact address on our website. If you would like to continue to receive these newsletters, please include this address in your "friends list" so that it isn't blocked.

Emails sent to walkabout@bushwalkingholidays.com.au are currently automatically forwarded to rrwillis at internode.on.net. If you want to send an email to that address, replace the word "at" with the symbol @. I am trying not to put that address any place where it can be harvested by spam bots.

We don't want to add to the mass of email spam. If you don't want our newsletter, please send us an email and let us know. We'll then delete your name from our newsletter list.

Our email address is walkabout@bushwalkingholidays.com.au.

Note. Both MailChimp and the other program we use to send some of these newsletters have an automatic delete at the bottom. Clicking that link will delete you from the mailing list on the server but it will not delete you from our main database. One of the programs will not allow the auto delete to send me an email notifying me that a deletion has been made. If you want to be sure that you are removed from all further mailings, please send an email to walkabout@bushwalkingholidays.com.au

If you know someone you think would enjoy this newsletter, please forward it to them. The more people who get it, the more likely it is that I'll be able to run the trips which might interest you.

Best wishes to all.
I hope you enjoy reading the newsletter as much as I enjoyed writing it.
Russell Willis

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